Thesis first
No trade without a thesis.
Every trade needs a directional hypothesis, invalidation conditions, entry, stop and target, and a conviction score built from factor analysis.
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everexBacktesting without the overfit.
A thesis-driven platform for systematic crypto perps traders - regime analysis, staged hypotheses and backtests built to survive real markets.
ThreeValidation stages
10Walk-forward folds
- Survival rate
- Roughly one in seven parameter sets
Regimes
The market, read in regimes.
Volatility, trend, multi-timeframe alignment and tape health are tracked continuously. When a regime shifts - compression to expansion, ranging to trending - the scanner stages a hypothesis for review.
Validation
Backtesting without the overfit.
Three stages - walk-forward analysis over 10 folds, execution modelled up to orderbook replay, then Monte Carlo on every out-of-sample trade. About one in seven parameter sets survives.
